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Latest polls

Every eligible poll in every race covered, newest first. Excluded firms are listed separately with reasons. Polls on record as of October 31, 2026, 6:06 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (13:06 UTC).

Newest polls

All eligible polls in one complete HTML table, available without scripts. Filters require JavaScript; use the complete table if they cannot load.

Polls by 55 firms are not used and not listed here: firms that fabricated data, campaigns' own polling operations, and firms with no published poll of an election already decided, so no record to judge them by yet. The firms and why.

Newest polls
RaceDatesPollsterSampleResultMarginChecked
IN-5Oct 21–22, 2026Quantus Insights601 LVSpartz 45 (R) · Ford 42 (D)R+3Citation unreadable release
IN-5Sep 30–Oct 4, 2026Expedition Strategies
for House Majority PAC
partisan sponsor
600 LVSpartz 48 (R) · Ford 47 (D)R+1Not checked yet release
IN-5Jul 16–20, 2026Impact Researchpartisan sponsor400 LVSpartz 48 (R) · Ford 46 (D)R+2No citation

Polling averages by race

Simple average: the plain mean margin of the race's polls in the 30 days before its newest one, between the two candidates the forecast is between (the Democrat and the Republican in most races; where an independent is the main challenger, the independent). Adjusted average: the nowcast's estimate of the race today -- polls weighted by recency and size, corrected for each pollster's measured lean. Where they differ, the difference is the adjustment. House district polls listed here are inputs to the House model's election-day forecast (each district's estimate is moved toward its own polls, corrected for the sponsor's measured lean); there is no House nowcast. A race the model withholds shows its polls and no adjusted average.

Polling averages by race
RacePollsLatestSimple average
30 days to the newest poll (n)
Adjusted average
our nowcast
Forecast
IN-53Oct 22, 2026R+2 (2)—IN-5 forecast