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Latest polls

Every eligible poll in every race covered, newest first. Excluded firms are listed separately with reasons. Polls on record as of October 31, 2026, 6:06 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (13:06 UTC); adjusted averages from the nowcasts as of October 30, 2026, 5:55 p.m. Pacific Daylight Time (00:55 UTC).

Newest polls

All eligible polls in one complete HTML table, available without scripts. Filters require JavaScript; use the complete table if they cannot load.

Polls by 55 firms are not used and not listed here: firms that fabricated data, campaigns' own polling operations, and firms with no published poll of an election already decided, so no record to judge them by yet. The firms and why.

Newest polls
RaceDatesPollsterSampleResultMarginChecked
Alabama GovernorOct 22–24, 2026Chism Strategies695 LVTuberville 48 (R) · Jones 45 (D)R+3Not checked yet release
Alabama SenateOct 22–24, 2026Chism Strategies695 LVMoore 48 (R) · Wess 40 (D)R+8Not checked yet release
Alabama GovernorOct 16–17, 2026Cygnal
for Alabama Daily News and Gray Media Alabama
500 LVTuberville 51 (R) · Jones 40 (D)R+11Checked release
Alabama SenateOct 16–17, 2026Cygnal
for Alabama Daily News and Gray Media Alabama
500 LVMoore 50 (R) · Wess 35 (D)R+15Checked release
Alabama GovernorSep 21–25, 2026RMG Research
for Alabama Policy Action
800 RVTuberville 50 (R) · Jones 37 (D)R+13Checked release
Alabama SenateSep 21–25, 2026RMG Research
for Alabama Policy Action
800 RVMoore 54 (R) · Wess 33 (D)R+21Checked release
AL-2Aug 24–31, 2026Tulchin Research
for House Majority PAC
partisan sponsor
— Figures 47 (D) · Marques 47 (R)EvenChecked release
Alabama GovernorJul 8–11, 2026yes. every kid.
for yes. every kid. foundation
601 LVTuberville 49 (R) · Jones 41 (D)R+8Checked release
Alabama SenateJul 8–11, 2026yes. every kid.
for yes. every kid. foundation
601 LVMoore 47 (R) · Wess 32 (D)R+15Checked release
AL-2Jun 22–25, 2026Impact Researchpartisan sponsor400 LVMarques 45 (R) · Figures 44 (D)R+1Citation unreadable release
Alabama GovernorNov 12–13, 2025Cygnal605 LVTuberville 53 (R) · Jones 34 (D)R+19Checked release

Polling averages by race

Simple average: the plain mean margin of the race's polls in the 30 days before its newest one, between the two candidates the forecast is between (the Democrat and the Republican in most races; where an independent is the main challenger, the independent). Adjusted average: the nowcast's estimate of the race today -- polls weighted by recency and size, corrected for each pollster's measured lean. Where they differ, the difference is the adjustment. House district polls listed here are inputs to the House model's election-day forecast (each district's estimate is moved toward its own polls, corrected for the sponsor's measured lean); there is no House nowcast. A race the model withholds shows its polls and no adjusted average.

Polling averages by race
RacePollsLatestSimple average
30 days to the newest poll (n)
Adjusted average
our nowcast
Forecast
Alabama Governor5Oct 24, 2026R+9 (3)R+11Alabama Governor forecast
Alabama Senate4Oct 24, 2026R+15 (3)R+16Alabama Senate forecast
AL-22Aug 31, 2026Even (1)—AL-2 forecast