New Jersey elections
2026 forecasts, districts, polling and election information
U.S. Senate
New Jersey Senate
D 95%
Cory Booker · Justin Murphy
October 30, 2026, 6:13 p.m. Pacific Daylight Time (01:13 UTC).
Governor
No 2026 governor race is listed in FutureBallot’s current coverage. Check the official election office below.
U.S. House districts
Competitive means Lean or Toss-up: the favorite’s displayed chance is below 85%. A party assignment is not a candidate win probability.
| District | Candidates on record | Forecast / status | Rating | Forecast date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJ-1 | Donald Norcross · Damon Galdo | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| NJ-2 | Zack Mullock · Ramon Mora Jr. · Jeff Van Drew | R 96% | Safe R | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| NJ-3 | Herb Conaway · Ryan Michael Kelly · Steven Welzer · Michael McGuire | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| NJ-4 | Rachel Peace · Chris Smith | R >99% | Safe R | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| NJ-5 | Josh Gottheimer · Adam Rueda · Sean Kirrane | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| NJ-6 | Frank Pallone · Hillary Herzig | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| NJ-7 | Rebecca Bennett · Seamus Patrick O'Toole · Thomas Kean Jr. | D 69% | Lean D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| NJ-8 | Rob Menendez · Aristotle Eliopoulos · Craig Honts · Da'Shone Hughey | No opposing major-party candidate (D) | — | No candidate forecast |
| NJ-9 | Nellie Pou · Terrisa Bukovinac · Rosie Pino | D 99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| NJ-10 | LaMonica McIver · Carmen Bucco | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| NJ-11 | Analilia Mejia · Alan B. Bond · Joe Hathaway | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
| NJ-12 | Adam Hamawy · Andres Jinete · Winston Jordan · Gregg Mele | D >99% | Safe D | October 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC) |
State legislature
Updated October 31, 2026, 05:30 UTC.
These are separate party-majority chances, not the chance of joint control. A tie, independent members or a coalition can leave neither party with a majority. The initial model has limited validation; read the evidence and limitations.
| Chamber | Seats up | Majority threshold | Democratic majority | Republican majority |
|---|
No state legislative forecast is published for this state in this snapshot.
Explore the evidence
Polls and forecasts answer different questions. Each forecast above keeps its own run date. No separate state-environment estimate or joint trifecta probability is implied by these panels.
Official ballot and election rules
New Jersey election office — USAGov directory provides election calendars, official ballot information and local voting services. This page covers FutureBallot’s listed offices; other statewide/local offices and ballot measures may also be on your ballot.