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States

Louisiana elections

2026 forecasts, districts, polling and election information

U.S. Senate

Louisiana Senate

R 88%

Jamie Davis · Julia Letlow

October 30, 2026, 5:55 p.m. Pacific Daylight Time (00:55 UTC).

Governor

No 2026 governor race is listed in FutureBallot’s current coverage. Check the official election office below.

U.S. House districts

Competitive means Lean or Toss-up: the favorite’s displayed chance is below 85%. A party assignment is not a candidate win probability.

LA-4: R >99%LA-3: R >99%LA-5: R >99%LA-1: R >99%LA-2: D >99%LA-6: R >99%543162
Safe DLean DToss-upLean RSafe RHatched: party counted directly, including same-party contests · Gray: forecast withheld
Every mapped district is also listed in the table below.
U.S. House districts
DistrictCandidates on recordForecast / statusRatingForecast date
LA-1Lauren Jewett · E. Liddy Glass · Randall Arrington · Steve ScaliseR >99%Safe ROctober 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC)
LA-2Troy A. Carter Sr. · Lisa Ballay · Renada Honey Collins · Walter Rocky Beach · Peter WilliamsD >99%Safe DOctober 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC)
LA-3Caleb Walker · John Day · Priscilla Gonzalez · Tia LeBrun · Clay Higgins · Kate CottenR >99%Safe ROctober 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC)
LA-4Conrad Cable · Matt Gromlich · Gordon Heslop · Mike Johnson · Mike NicholsR >99%Safe ROctober 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC)
LA-5Antonio Wilson · Dan McKay · Patricia Moore · Austin Magee · Gabe Firment · Michael Echols · Misti Cordell · Oscar Dantzler · Stewart Cathey Jr.R >99%Safe ROctober 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC)
LA-6Chauna Banks · Lindsay Garcia · Pat Forbes · Rufus Craig · Blake Miguez · Larry Davis III · Michael Mebruer · Monique Appeaning · Rick Edmonds · Stephen WagleyR >99%Safe ROctober 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC)

State legislature

Updated October 31, 2026, 05:30 UTC.

These are separate party-majority chances, not the chance of joint control. A tie, independent members or a coalition can leave neither party with a majority. The initial model has limited validation; read the evidence and limitations.

State legislature
ChamberSeats upMajority thresholdDemocratic majorityRepublican majority

No state legislative forecast is published for this state in this snapshot.

Explore the evidence

Polls and forecasts answer different questions. Each forecast above keeps its own run date. No separate state-environment estimate or joint trifecta probability is implied by these panels.

Official ballot and election rules

Louisiana election office — USAGov directory provides election calendars, official ballot information and local voting services. This page covers FutureBallot’s listed offices; other statewide/local offices and ballot measures may also be on your ballot.

Find your ballot races by address, ZIP code or town.