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Pennsylvania election questions

Questions on races and election records in this state.

Election questions

How competitive are Pennsylvania’s congressional races in 2026?

FutureBallot rates four House districts in Pennsylvania competitive in the dated forecasts listed below. The table covers seventeen House districts. Districts with missing or withheld forecast evidence: zero.

How competitive are Pennsylvania’s congressional races in 2026?
ContestHighest modeled chanceStatusEvidence date
PA-8Paige Cognetti: 57.0%Toss-upOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-10Janelle Stelson: 68.3%LeanOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-1Brian Fitzpatrick: 70.0%LeanOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-7Bob Brooks: 71.4%LeanOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-11Lloyd Smucker: 99.1%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-16Mike Kelly: 99.6%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-17Chris Deluzio: 99.8%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-6Chrissy Houlahan: 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-14Guy Reschenthaler: 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-4Madeleine Dean: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-12Summer Lee: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-9Dan Meuser: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-15Glenn Thompson: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-13John Joyce: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-5Mary Gay Scanlon: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-2Brendan Boyle: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-3No candidate probabilityNo opposing major-party candidateOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC

No U.S. Senate forecast is included for this state. This alone does not establish whether a Senate election is scheduled.

Ratings use the favorite’s chance rounded to a whole percent. Competitive means Lean or Toss-up, below 85%; Toss-up is below 60%.

House contests are listed from the closest modeled race outward. Assignments and unavailable forecasts follow the modeled races.

A party assignment does not necessarily mean a candidate is unopposed. Same-party, independent or minor-party candidates can still contest a seat.

Sources: All House district statuses · Rating definitions

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How competitive are Pennsylvania’s U.S. House races in 2026?

FutureBallot rates four House districts in Pennsylvania competitive in the dated forecasts listed below. The table covers seventeen House districts. Districts with missing or withheld forecast evidence: zero.

How competitive are Pennsylvania’s U.S. House races in 2026?
ContestHighest modeled chanceStatusEvidence date
PA-8Paige Cognetti: 57.0%Toss-upOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-10Janelle Stelson: 68.3%LeanOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-1Brian Fitzpatrick: 70.0%LeanOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-7Bob Brooks: 71.4%LeanOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-11Lloyd Smucker: 99.1%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-16Mike Kelly: 99.6%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-17Chris Deluzio: 99.8%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-6Chrissy Houlahan: 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-14Guy Reschenthaler: 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-4Madeleine Dean: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-12Summer Lee: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-9Dan Meuser: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-15Glenn Thompson: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-13John Joyce: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-5Mary Gay Scanlon: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-2Brendan Boyle: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
PA-3No candidate probabilityNo opposing major-party candidateOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC

Ratings use the favorite’s chance rounded to a whole percent. Competitive means Lean or Toss-up, below 85%; Toss-up is below 60%.

House contests are listed from the closest modeled race outward. Assignments and unavailable forecasts follow the modeled races.

A party assignment does not necessarily mean a candidate is unopposed. Same-party, independent or minor-party candidates can still contest a seat.

Sources: All House district statuses · Rating definitions

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Which party, if any, is favored in each 2026 state legislative chamber with seats up in Pennsylvania?

FutureBallot’s state legislative forecast dated October 30, 2026, 12:45 UTC lists majority chances, marks a chamber nonpartisan, or reports unresolved probabilities for each chamber with seats up.

Which party, if any, is favored in each 2026 state legislative chamber with seats up in Pennsylvania?
ChamberDemocratic majorityRepublican majoritySeats up
Pennsylvania House72.9%27.1%203
Pennsylvania Senate4.1%89.0%25

Each chamber is a separate contest. These are not joint probabilities of controlling the legislature. A range assigns seats that cannot be forecast to each party in turn. When exact party probabilities sum to less than 100%, the remainder is the chance neither party has a majority. No party-majority probability is reported for a nonpartisan chamber.

Sources: State legislative forecasts and limitations · Pennsylvania House · Pennsylvania Senate

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Where can I find Pennsylvania election dates and voting information?

Use Pennsylvania’s election office for its election calendar, ballot information and links to local voting services. Check the year and whether the date concerns a primary, general, special or runoff election.

The office link was read from USAGov on 2026-10-30. FutureBallot does not maintain a separate calendar of voting deadlines.

Sources: Pennsylvania election office — USAGov directory · USAGov official-office directory

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