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Latest polls

Every eligible poll in every race covered, newest first. Excluded firms are listed separately with reasons. Polls on record as of October 31, 2026, 6:06 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (13:06 UTC); adjusted averages from the nowcasts as of October 30, 2026, 5:55 p.m. Pacific Daylight Time (00:55 UTC).

Newest polls

All eligible polls in one complete HTML table, available without scripts. Filters require JavaScript; use the complete table if they cannot load.

Polls by 55 firms are not used and not listed here: firms that fabricated data, campaigns' own polling operations, and firms with no published poll of an election already decided, so no record to judge them by yet. The firms and why.

Newest polls
RaceDatesPollsterSampleResultMarginChecked
Minnesota SenateOct 24–28, 2026KSTP/Survey USA714 LVFlanagan 48 (D) · Tafoya 41 (R)D+7Not checked yet release
Minnesota GovernorOct 26–28, 2026State Navigate806 LVKlobuchar 52 (D) · Demuth 42 (R)D+10Checked release
Minnesota GovernorOct 24–28, 2026KSTP/Survey USA718 LVKlobuchar 51 (D) · Demuth 39 (R)D+12Not checked yet release
Minnesota SenateOct 19–26, 2026New York Times/Siena College752 LVFlanagan 54 (D) · Tafoya 40 (R)D+14Not checked yet release
Minnesota GovernorOct 19–26, 2026New York Times/Siena College752 LVKlobuchar 56 (D) · Demuth 38 (R)D+18Not checked yet release
MN-8Oct 25–26, 2026Public Policy Polling
for Swanson's campaign
partisan sponsor
585 RVStauber 49 (R) · Swanson 43 (D)R+6Not checked yet release
Minnesota SenateOct 21–22, 2026Victory Insights
for Tafoya's campaign
partisan sponsor
1194 LVFlanagan 48 (D) · Tafoya 44 (R)D+4Checked release
Minnesota GovernorOct 21–22, 2026Victory Insights
for Michele Tafoya
1194 LVKlobuchar 50 (D) · Demuth 43 (R)D+7Release found release
Minnesota SenateOct 20–21, 2026Rasmussen Reports1182 LVFlanagan 48 (D) · Tafoya 45 (R)D+3Checked release
Minnesota SenateOct 13–15, 2026Trafalgar Group1079 LVFlanagan 48 (D) · Tafoya 45 (R)D+3Checked release
MN-1Oct 13–14, 2026Public Policy Polling
for House Majority PAC
partisan sponsor
588 LVJohnson 43 (D) · Finstad 43 (R)EvenNot checked yet release
Minnesota SenateOct 8–12, 2026KSTP/Survey USA718 LVFlanagan 45 (D) · Tafoya 42 (R)D+3Checked release
Minnesota GovernorOct 8–12, 2026KSTP/Survey USA718 LVKlobuchar 48 (D) · Demuth 41 (R)D+7Checked release
MN-1Oct 4–9, 2026SurveyUSA
for KAAL
565 LVJohnson 46 (D) · Finstad 44 (R)D+2Citation unreadable release
Minnesota SenateOct 5–7, 2026Rasmussen Reports856 LVFlanagan 48 (D) · Tafoya 45 (R)D+3Checked release
Minnesota SenateOct 5–7, 2026Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
for KARE 11/The Minnesota Star Tribune
800 LVFlanagan 47 (D) · Tafoya 43 (R)D+4Checked release
Minnesota SenateOct 2–7, 2026Morning Consult1000 RVFlanagan 45 (D) · Tafoya 41 (R)D+4Release found release
Minnesota GovernorOct 5–7, 2026Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
for KARE 11/The Minnesota Star Tribune
800 LVKlobuchar 50 (D) · Demuth 41 (R)D+9Checked release
Minnesota GovernorOct 2–7, 2026Morning Consult
for Daily Agenda
1000 RVKlobuchar 48 (D) · Demuth 39 (R)D+9Checked release
Minnesota SenateOct 1–4, 2026GQR Research
for Senate Majority PAC
partisan sponsor
800 LVFlanagan 53 (D) · Tafoya 44 (R)D+9No citation
Minnesota SenateSep 28–29, 2026InsiderAdvantage1200 LVFlanagan 46 (D) · Tafoya 45 (R)D+1Checked release
MN-1Sep 18–21, 2026GBAOpartisan sponsor500 LVJohnson 47 (D) · Finstad 46 (R)D+1Release found release
Minnesota SenateSep 14–15, 2026co/efficient833 LVFlanagan 43 (D) · Tafoya 42 (R)D+1Checked release
Minnesota GovernorSep 14–15, 2026co/efficient833 LVKlobuchar 47 (D) · Demuth 45 (R)D+2Checked release
Minnesota SenateSep 9–14, 2026SurveyUSA654 LVTafoya 42 (R) · Flanagan 42 (D)EvenChecked release
Minnesota GovernorSep 9–14, 2026SurveyUSA654 LVKlobuchar 47 (D) · Demuth 40 (R)D+7Checked release
MN-2Sep 9–13, 2026Impact Researchpartisan sponsor500 LVLittle 52 (D) · Pratt 40 (R)D+12No citation
Minnesota SenateSep 8–10, 2026Quantus Insights720 LVFlanagan 48 (D) · Tafoya 44 (R)D+4Checked release
Minnesota SenateAug 31–Sep 2, 2026TIPP Insights
for League of American Workers
1494 RVFlanagan 40 (D) · Tafoya 38 (R)D+2Checked release
Minnesota GovernorAug 31–Sep 2, 2026TIPP Insights
for League of American Workers
1494 RVKlobuchar 47 (D) · Demuth 37 (R)D+10Checked release
Minnesota SenateAug 13–17, 2026SurveyUSA661 LVFlanagan 46 (D) · Tafoya 41 (R)D+5Checked release
Minnesota GovernorAug 13–17, 2026SurveyUSA661 LVKlobuchar 52 (D) · Demuth 36 (R)D+16Checked release
MN-2Jun 18–21, 2026Harper Pollingpartisan sponsor415 LVLittle 45 (D) · Pratt 40 (R)D+5No citation
Minnesota GovernorJun 8–10, 2026Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy800 LVKlobuchar 48 (D) · Demuth 40 (R)D+8Checked release
Minnesota SenateMay 26–28, 2026Impact Research
for Angie Craig for Senate
campaign internal
808 LVFlanagan 51 (D) · Tafoya 44 (R)D+7Citation unreadable
MN-1Mar 12–14, 2026Ragnar Research Partners
for Conservatives For America
partisan sponsor
400 LVFinstad 52 (R) · Johnson 42 (D)R+10Checked release
Minnesota SenateFeb 6–8, 2026Emerson College1000 LVFlanagan 47 (D) · Tafoya 41 (R)D+6Checked
Minnesota GovernorFeb 6–8, 2026Emerson College1000 LVKlobuchar 51 (D) · Demuth 38 (R)D+13Checked release
MN-1Feb 2–3, 2026Public Policy Pollingpartisan sponsor708 RVFinstad 44 (R) · Johnson 41 (D)R+3Not checked yet release
Minnesota GovernorJan 27–30, 2026SurveyUSA575 RVKlobuchar 49 (D) · Demuth 34 (R)D+15Checked
Minnesota SenateJul 8–11, 2025Impact Researchpartisan sponsor604 LVFlanagan 48 (D) · Tafoya 45 (R)D+3Checked

Polling averages by race

Simple average: the plain mean margin of the race's polls in the 30 days before its newest one, between the two candidates the forecast is between (the Democrat and the Republican in most races; where an independent is the main challenger, the independent). Adjusted average: the nowcast's estimate of the race today -- polls weighted by recency and size, corrected for each pollster's measured lean. Where they differ, the difference is the adjustment. House district polls listed here are inputs to the House model's election-day forecast (each district's estimate is moved toward its own polls, corrected for the sponsor's measured lean); there is no House nowcast. A race the model withholds shows its polls and no adjusted average.

Polling averages by race
RacePollsLatestSimple average
30 days to the newest poll (n)
Adjusted average
our nowcast
Forecast
Minnesota Senate19Oct 28, 2026D+5 (11)D+5Minnesota Senate forecast
Minnesota Governor14Oct 28, 2026D+10 (7)D+11Minnesota Governor forecast
MN-15Oct 14, 2026D+1 (3)—MN-1 forecast
MN-81Oct 26, 2026R+6 (1)—MN-8 forecast
MN-22Sep 13, 2026D+12 (1)—MN-2 forecast