FutureBallotU.S. election forecasts, with every number traced to its source

Montana Senate: every poll

The forecast for this race → · All polls

R+24
simple average, last 30 days
R+19
adjusted average (nowcast)
14
polls
DatesPollsterSampleResultMargin
Sep 14–Sep 15Quantus Insightspartisan sponsor625 LVAlme 44 (R) · Bodnar 24 (I) · Bankhead 23 (D)R+20
Sep 7–Sep 15Aspect Strategic715 LVAlme 44 (R) · Bodnar 32 (I) · Bankhead 14 (D)R+12
Aug 27–Sep 7Rutgers University Eagleton Institute of Politics845 RVAlme 38 (R) · Bodnar 30 (I) · Bankhead 16 (D)R+8
Aug 23–Aug 25Peak Insights600 LVAlme 44 (R) · Bodnar 22 (I) · Bankhead 19 (D)R+22
Aug 1–Aug 4Hart Researchpartisan sponsor800 LVAlme 45 (R) · Bodnar 30 (I) · Bankhead 15 (D)R+15
Jul 23–Jul 27Tavern Researchpartisan sponsor517 LVAlme 49 (R) · Bodnar 25 (I) · Bankhead 24 (D)R+24
Jul 23–Jul 26GQRpartisan sponsor500 LVAlme 41 (R) · Bodnar 27 (I) · Bankhead 22 (D)R+14
Jul 13–Jul 16The Bullfinch Grouppartisan sponsor793 LVAlme 36 (R) · Bodnar 24 (I) · Bankhead 22 (D)R+12
Jun 23–Jun 24GrayHousepartisan sponsor500 RVAlme 41 (R) · Bankhead 25 (D) · Bodnar 17 (I)R+16
Jun 18–Jun 24Hart Researchpartisan sponsor800 LVAlme 47 (R) · Bodnar 25 (I) · Bankhead 22 (D)R+22
Jun 16–Jun 19Tavern Researchpartisan sponsor400 LVAlme 49 (R) · Bankhead 26 (D) · Bodnar 24 (I)R+23
Jun 8–Jun 11Public Opinion Strategiespartisan sponsor500 LVAlme 44 (R) · Bankhead 25 (D) · Bodnar 20 (I)R+19
May 13–May 18Tavern Researchpartisan sponsor607 LVBodnar 50 (I) · Alme 50 (R)Even
Mar 17–Mar 20Change Researchpartisan sponsor616 LVAlme 37 (R) · Bodnar 35 (I)R+2