Polls · who pays
Who Polls the Close Races FutureBallot's archive holds no independent poll for ten of the thirty closest races
The closest Senate, governor and House races, and every poll of each that FutureBallot holds, split by who paid for it. Campaign and partisan polls are released when they help, so a race known only through them is harder to read.
Data as of the forecast published November 2, 2026 and the latest poll fieldwork date, November 1, 2026.
Swipe the chart sideways to see all of it.
Independent poll Sponsored by a partisan group A campaign's own poll WA-3: polls by who paid for them: independent 3, sponsored by a partisan group 1, a campaign's own 0 WA-3 Perez (D) 52% IA Senate: polls by who paid for them: independent 33, sponsored by a partisan group 3, a campaign's own 2 IA Senate Hinson (R) 52% IA-2: polls by who paid for them: independent 1, sponsored by a partisan group 2, a campaign's own 0 IA-2 Mitchell (R) 52% MI-10: polls by who paid for them: independent 0, sponsored by a partisan group 2, a campaign's own 0 MI-10 no independent poll Bouchard (R) 52% TX-35: polls by who paid for them: independent 2, sponsored by a partisan group 2, a campaign's own 0 TX-35 De La Cruz (R) 53% NY-17: polls by who paid for them: independent 2, sponsored by a partisan group 2, a campaign's own 0 NY-17 Lawler (R) 53% NV Governor: polls by who paid for them: independent 7, sponsored by a partisan group 7, a campaign's own 1 NV Governor Lombardo (R) 54% CA-22: polls by who paid for them: independent 1, sponsored by a partisan group 1, a campaign's own 0 CA-22 Valadao (R) 54% VA-1: polls by who paid for them: independent 1, sponsored by a partisan group 2, a campaign's own 0 VA-1 Taylor (D) 55% PA-8: polls by who paid for them: independent 2, sponsored by a partisan group 3, a campaign's own 0 PA-8 Cognetti (D) 55% KS Senate: polls by who paid for them: independent 12, sponsored by a partisan group 4, a campaign's own 1 KS Senate Hamilton (D) 56% KY-6: polls by who paid for them: independent 0, sponsored by a partisan group 6, a campaign's own 1 KY-6 no independent poll Dembo (D) 56% WI-3: polls by who paid for them: independent 0, sponsored by a partisan group 4, a campaign's own 0 WI-3 no independent poll Cooke (D) 56% MO-2: polls by who paid for them: independent 1, sponsored by a partisan group 3, a campaign's own 0 MO-2 Wagner (R) 56% MT-1: polls by who paid for them: independent 4, sponsored by a partisan group 5, a campaign's own 0 MT-1 Forstag (D) 57% FL-22: polls by who paid for them: independent 0, sponsored by a partisan group 1, a campaign's own 0 FL-22 no independent poll Dandiya (D) 57% FL-9: polls by who paid for them: independent 0, sponsored by a partisan group 2, a campaign's own 0 FL-9 no independent poll Green (R) 57% AK Senate: polls by who paid for them: independent 21, sponsored by a partisan group 7, a campaign's own 0 AK Senate Peltola (D) 57% NE Senate: polls by who paid for them: independent 10, sponsored by a partisan group 5, a campaign's own 3 NE Senate Ricketts (R) 58% ME-2: polls by who paid for them: independent 2, sponsored by a partisan group 5, a campaign's own 1 ME-2 LePage (R) 58% CO-5: polls by who paid for them: independent 0, sponsored by a partisan group 2, a campaign's own 2 CO-5 no independent poll Crank (R) 59% KS Governor: polls by who paid for them: independent 9, sponsored by a partisan group 2, a campaign's own 1 KS Governor Masterson (R) 59% MI-4: polls by who paid for them: independent 0, sponsored by a partisan group 4, a campaign's own 0 MI-4 no independent poll Huizenga (R) 59% MI-7: polls by who paid for them: independent 1, sponsored by a partisan group 2, a campaign's own 0 MI-7 Lawrence (D) 60% NV-2: polls by who paid for them: independent 0, sponsored by a partisan group 2, a campaign's own 1 NV-2 no independent poll Flippo (R) 61% GA Governor: polls by who paid for them: independent 16, sponsored by a partisan group 1, a campaign's own 0 GA Governor Bottoms (D) 62% VA-2: polls by who paid for them: independent 1, sponsored by a partisan group 1, a campaign's own 0 VA-2 Luria (D) 62% OH-15: polls by who paid for them: independent 0, sponsored by a partisan group 4, a campaign's own 0 OH-15 no independent poll Carey (R) 63% TX-15: polls by who paid for them: independent 2, sponsored by a partisan group 3, a campaign's own 0 TX-15 Pulido (D) 63% AZ-6: polls by who paid for them: independent 0, sponsored by a partisan group 3, a campaign's own 0 AZ-6 no independent poll Mendoza (D) 64% Favorite, chance Polls of the race this cycle 0 10 20 30 40
How to read it. Races are ordered with the closest at the top. Bar length is the number of polls.
Source. FutureBallot poll archive (the polls listed on the /polls pages), general-election questions this cycle; sponsor type as recorded from each release. Drawn November 2, 2026, 6:10 AM Pacific.
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