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Forecast · Senate

Senate Horizon Strips

Seven Senate races changed favorite at least once since September 24; IA, KS and NE have different favorites today than on September 24

Every Senate race with at least five days of forecasts, one thin strip each, showing the forecast's chance day by day. The fill rises with the favorite's chance above 50%, in that favorite's color; the darker layer starts at 75%. A strip that changes color is a race that changed favorite.

Data as of the forecast published November 2, 2026.

Swipe the chart sideways to see all of it.

DemocratRepublicanIndependentIA SenateHinson (R) 52%KS SenateHamilton (D) 56%AK SenatePeltola (D) 57%NE SenateRicketts (R) 58%TX SenateTalarico (D) 69%ME SenateJackson (D) 72%SC SenateGraham (R) 73%OH SenateBrown (D) 74%MI SenateEl-Sayed (D) 81%FL SenateMoody (R) 86%LA SenateLetlow (R) 88%MN SenateFlanagan (D) 91%SD SenateRounds (R) 92%MS SenateHyde-Smith (R) 93%KY SenateBarr (R) 93%NH SenatePappas (D) 94%NJ SenateBooker (D) 94%AR SenateCotton (R) 95%VA SenateWarner (D) 96%GA SenateOssoff (D) 96%NC SenateCooper (D) 97%NM SenateLuján (D) 97%ID SenateRisch (R) 97%MT SenateAlme (R) 97%IL SenateStratton (D) 98%CO SenateHickenlooper (D) 98%OR SenateMerkley (D) 98%DE SenateCoons (D) >99%AL SenateMoore (R) >99%TN SenateHagerty (R) >99%WV SenateCapito (R) >99%OK SenateHern (R) >99%WY SenateHageman (R) >99%MA SenateMarkey (D) >99%RI SenateReed (D) >99%Sep 24Oct 1Oct 8Oct 15Oct 22Oct 29Favorite today

How to read it. Pale fill: favorite between 50% and 75%. Dark fill: 75% or more, rising to the top of the strip at 100%. Closest races at the top.

Source. FutureBallot election-day Senate forecasts: the newest published run on each date. Drawn November 2, 2026, 6:10 AM Pacific.

Link to this chartChart image pageDownload the data (CSV)Free to republish with credit to FutureBallot.