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History · President

The States That Swapped Sides

Arkansas and Vermont swapped sides of the country

Each line is one state's presidential margin compared with the nation's, election by election since 1976. Seventeen states crossed the national line and moved at least fifteen points; the three that moved furthest each way are highlighted.

Swipe the chart sideways to see all of it.

More Democratic than the nation in 2024More Republican than the nation in 2024Every other stateR+60R+40R+20NationD+20D+40D+60← More Republican than the nationMore Democratic than the nation →1976nation D+2.11980nation R+10.61984nation R+18.41988nation R+7.81992nation D+7.01996nation D+9.52000nation D+0.52004nation R+2.52008nation D+7.42012nation D+3.92016nation D+2.22020nation D+4.52024nation R+1.5AK: R+25.9 in 1976, R+12.2 in 2024AZ: R+19.3 in 1976, R+4.1 in 2024CA: R+3.9 in 1976, D+22.3 in 2024CT: R+7.3 in 1976, D+16.3 in 2024DE: D+3.4 in 1976, D+16.5 in 2024FL: D+3.3 in 1976, R+11.7 in 2024GA: D+31.8 in 1976, R+0.7 in 2024HI: D+0.5 in 1976, D+25.1 in 2024IA: R+3.1 in 1976, R+11.9 in 2024ID: R+25.6 in 1976, R+36.0 in 2024IL: R+4.1 in 1976, D+12.6 in 2024IN: R+9.8 in 1976, R+17.8 in 2024KS: R+9.9 in 1976, R+14.9 in 2024KY: D+5.2 in 1976, R+29.5 in 2024LA: D+3.8 in 1976, R+20.9 in 2024MA: D+14.1 in 1976, D+27.4 in 2024MD: D+4.0 in 1976, D+31.0 in 2024ME: R+3.0 in 1976, D+8.6 in 2024MI: R+7.6 in 1976, D+0.1 in 2024MN: D+11.2 in 1976, D+5.8 in 2024MO: D+1.6 in 1976, R+17.2 in 2024MS: R+0.2 in 1976, R+21.6 in 2024MT: R+9.7 in 1976, R+19.1 in 2024NC: D+9.0 in 1976, R+1.8 in 2024ND: R+8.2 in 1976, R+35.9 in 2024NE: R+23.4 in 1976, R+19.3 in 2024NH: R+13.6 in 1976, D+4.3 in 2024NJ: R+4.3 in 1976, D+7.5 in 2024NM: R+4.6 in 1976, D+7.6 in 2024NV: R+6.6 in 1976, R+1.7 in 2024NY: D+2.3 in 1976, D+14.2 in 2024OH: R+1.9 in 1976, R+9.8 in 2024OK: R+3.3 in 1976, R+33.4 in 2024OR: R+2.3 in 1976, D+16.4 in 2024PA: D+0.6 in 1976, R+0.2 in 2024RI: D+9.2 in 1976, D+15.7 in 2024SC: D+11.0 in 1976, R+16.6 in 2024SD: R+3.6 in 1976, R+28.4 in 2024TN: D+11.0 in 1976, R+28.6 in 2024TX: D+1.1 in 1976, R+12.4 in 2024UT: R+32.1 in 1976, R+20.7 in 2024VA: R+3.5 in 1976, D+7.4 in 2024WI: R+0.4 in 1976, D+0.6 in 2024WY: R+21.8 in 1976, R+45.5 in 2024ARWVALVTCOWAVT R+14.8CO R+13.9WA R+6.1AL D+11.2WV D+14.0AR D+28.0WV R+41.2AR R+29.8AL R+29.4CO D+12.8WA D+20.4VT D+34.3

How to read it. Left of the centre line: the state voted more Republican than the country that year. Right: more Democratic. A highlighted line's colour is the side the state was on in the latest election shown. Washington, D.C., which voted sixty-four to ninety-one points more Democratic than the nation, is off the scale and left out.

Source. MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. President 1976–2024 (two-party vote; a nominee's votes on every ballot line). The chart adds 2028 when that year's results are in the file. Drawn November 2, 2026, 2:39 AM Pacific.

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