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A chart from The States That Swapped Sides

The States That Swapped Sides

More Democratic than the nation in 2024More Republican than the nation in 2024Every other stateR+60R+40R+20NationD+20D+40D+60← More Republican than the nationMore Democratic than the nation →1976nation D+2.11980nation R+10.61984nation R+18.41988nation R+7.81992nation D+7.01996nation D+9.52000nation D+0.52004nation R+2.52008nation D+7.42012nation D+3.92016nation D+2.22020nation D+4.52024nation R+1.5AK: R+25.9 in 1976, R+12.2 in 2024AZ: R+19.3 in 1976, R+4.1 in 2024CA: R+3.9 in 1976, D+22.3 in 2024CT: R+7.3 in 1976, D+16.3 in 2024DE: D+3.4 in 1976, D+16.5 in 2024FL: D+3.3 in 1976, R+11.7 in 2024GA: D+31.8 in 1976, R+0.7 in 2024HI: D+0.5 in 1976, D+25.1 in 2024IA: R+3.1 in 1976, R+11.9 in 2024ID: R+25.6 in 1976, R+36.0 in 2024IL: R+4.1 in 1976, D+12.6 in 2024IN: R+9.8 in 1976, R+17.8 in 2024KS: R+9.9 in 1976, R+14.9 in 2024KY: D+5.2 in 1976, R+29.5 in 2024LA: D+3.8 in 1976, R+20.9 in 2024MA: D+14.1 in 1976, D+27.4 in 2024MD: D+4.0 in 1976, D+31.0 in 2024ME: R+3.0 in 1976, D+8.6 in 2024MI: R+7.6 in 1976, D+0.1 in 2024MN: D+11.2 in 1976, D+5.8 in 2024MO: D+1.6 in 1976, R+17.2 in 2024MS: R+0.2 in 1976, R+21.6 in 2024MT: R+9.7 in 1976, R+19.1 in 2024NC: D+9.0 in 1976, R+1.8 in 2024ND: R+8.2 in 1976, R+35.9 in 2024NE: R+23.4 in 1976, R+19.3 in 2024NH: R+13.6 in 1976, D+4.3 in 2024NJ: R+4.3 in 1976, D+7.5 in 2024NM: R+4.6 in 1976, D+7.6 in 2024NV: R+6.6 in 1976, R+1.7 in 2024NY: D+2.3 in 1976, D+14.2 in 2024OH: R+1.9 in 1976, R+9.8 in 2024OK: R+3.3 in 1976, R+33.4 in 2024OR: R+2.3 in 1976, D+16.4 in 2024PA: D+0.6 in 1976, R+0.2 in 2024RI: D+9.2 in 1976, D+15.7 in 2024SC: D+11.0 in 1976, R+16.6 in 2024SD: R+3.6 in 1976, R+28.4 in 2024TN: D+11.0 in 1976, R+28.6 in 2024TX: D+1.1 in 1976, R+12.4 in 2024UT: R+32.1 in 1976, R+20.7 in 2024VA: R+3.5 in 1976, D+7.4 in 2024WI: R+0.4 in 1976, D+0.6 in 2024WY: R+21.8 in 1976, R+45.5 in 2024ARWVALVTCOWAVT R+14.8CO R+13.9WA R+6.1AL D+11.2WV D+14.0AR D+28.0WV R+41.2AR R+29.8AL R+29.4CO D+12.8WA D+20.4VT D+34.3

State presidential margins compared with the nation's, 1976–2024; 17 states crossed the national line and moved fifteen points or more

  • More Democratic than the nation in 2024
  • More Republican than the nation in 2024
  • Every other state

Forecast as of November 2, 2026. See it in context · Preview image (PNG, 1200 by 630)