Get the briefing by email: when the forecast moves and weekly through Election Day, then how our forecast did. See one

States

Nebraska elections

2026 forecasts, districts, polling and election information

U.S. Senate

Nebraska Senate

R 53%

Dan Osborn · Pete Ricketts

October 30, 2026, 5:55 p.m. Pacific Daylight Time (00:55 UTC).

Governor

Nebraska Governor

R 82%

Jim Pillen · Lynne Walz

October 30, 2026, 5:55 p.m. Pacific Daylight Time (00:55 UTC).

U.S. House districts

Competitive means Lean or Toss-up: the favorite’s displayed chance is below 85%. A party assignment is not a candidate win probability.

NE-3: R >99%NE-1: R 83%NE-2: D 91%312
Safe DLean DToss-upLean RSafe RHatched: party counted directly, including same-party contests · Gray: forecast withheld
Every mapped district is also listed in the table below.
U.S. House districts
DistrictCandidates on recordForecast / statusRatingForecast date
NE-1Chris Backemeyer · Dan Hartong · Nik Sandman · Mike FloodR 83%Lean ROctober 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC)
NE-2Denise Powell · Eric Foreman · Brinker HardingD 91%Likely DOctober 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC)
NE-3Becky Stille · David J. Else · Macey Budke · Mark Cohen · Adrian SmithR >99%Safe ROctober 31, 2026, 12:04 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time (07:04 UTC)

State legislature

Updated October 31, 2026, 05:30 UTC.

These are separate party-majority chances, not the chance of joint control. A tie, independent members or a coalition can leave neither party with a majority. The initial model has limited validation; read the evidence and limitations.

State legislature
ChamberSeats upMajority thresholdDemocratic majorityRepublican majority
Nebraska Legislature2525Nonpartisan: no party-majority forecast

Explore the evidence

Polls and forecasts answer different questions. Each forecast above keeps its own run date. No separate state-environment estimate or joint trifecta probability is implied by these panels.

Official ballot and election rules

Nebraska election office — USAGov directory provides election calendars, official ballot information and local voting services. This page covers FutureBallot’s listed offices; other statewide/local offices and ballot measures may also be on your ballot.

Find your ballot races by address, ZIP code or town.