Get the briefing by email: when the forecast moves and weekly through Election Day, then how our forecast did. See one

Mississippi election questions

Questions on races and election records in this state.

Election questions

How competitive are Mississippi’s congressional races in 2026?

FutureBallot rates zero House districts in Mississippi competitive in the dated forecasts listed below. The table covers four House districts. Districts with missing or withheld forecast evidence: zero. FutureBallot also rates zero Senate races competitive among the Senate forecasts listed.

How competitive are Mississippi’s congressional races in 2026?
ContestHighest modeled chanceStatusEvidence date
MS-3Michael Guest: 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
MS-4Mike Ezell: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
MS-1Trent Kelly: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
MS-2Bennie Thompson: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
U.S. SenateCindy Hyde-Smith: 92.8%LikelyOctober 30, 2026, 00:40 UTC

Ratings use the favorite’s chance rounded to a whole percent. Competitive means Lean or Toss-up, below 85%; Toss-up is below 60%.

House contests are listed from the closest modeled race outward. Assignments and unavailable forecasts follow the modeled races.

A party assignment does not necessarily mean a candidate is unopposed. Same-party, independent or minor-party candidates can still contest a seat.

Sources: All House district statuses · Rating definitions

Ask a follow-up

How competitive are Mississippi’s U.S. House races in 2026?

FutureBallot rates zero House districts in Mississippi competitive in the dated forecasts listed below. The table covers four House districts. Districts with missing or withheld forecast evidence: zero.

How competitive are Mississippi’s U.S. House races in 2026?
ContestHighest modeled chanceStatusEvidence date
MS-3Michael Guest: 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
MS-4Mike Ezell: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
MS-1Trent Kelly: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC
MS-2Bennie Thompson: more than 99.9%SafeOctober 30, 2026, 06:54 UTC

Ratings use the favorite’s chance rounded to a whole percent. Competitive means Lean or Toss-up, below 85%; Toss-up is below 60%.

House contests are listed from the closest modeled race outward. Assignments and unavailable forecasts follow the modeled races.

A party assignment does not necessarily mean a candidate is unopposed. Same-party, independent or minor-party candidates can still contest a seat.

Sources: All House district statuses · Rating definitions

Link to this question · Ask a follow-up

Where can I find Mississippi election dates and voting information?

Use Mississippi’s election office for its election calendar, ballot information and links to local voting services. Check the year and whether the date concerns a primary, general, special or runoff election.

The office link was read from USAGov on 2026-10-30. FutureBallot does not maintain a separate calendar of voting deadlines.

Sources: Mississippi election office — USAGov directory · USAGov official-office directory

Link to this question · Ask a follow-up

Browse election questions