FutureBallotU.S. election forecasts, with every number traced to its source

Arkansas Senate: every poll

The forecast for this race → · All polls

R+5
simple average, last 30 days
R+11
adjusted average (nowcast)
4
polls
DatesPollsterSampleResultMargin
Aug 14–Aug 18J.L. Partners803 LVCotton 51 (R) · Shoffner 35 (D)R+16
Aug 11–Aug 12Hendrix College1217 LVShoffner 47 (D) · Cotton 44 (R)D+3
Jul 17–Jul 252040 Strategy Grouppartisan sponsor586 LVCotton 46 (R) · Shoffner 43 (D)R+3
Feb 7–Feb 9GrayHousepartisan sponsor550 LVCotton 58 (R) · Shoffner 36 (D)R+22