FutureBallotU.S. election forecasts, with every number traced to its source

Florida Governor: every poll

The forecast for this race → · All polls

D+1
simple average, last 30 days
R+4
adjusted average (nowcast)
19
polls
DatesPollsterSampleResultMargin
Sep 15–Sep 17St. Pete Polls913 LVDonalds 44 (R) · Jolly 43 (D)R+1
Sep 7–Sep 9Change Researchpartisan sponsor1107 LVJolly 47 (D) · Donalds 44 (R)D+3
Aug 10–Aug 13Hart Research Associatespartisan sponsor600 LVJolly 46 (D) · Donalds 45 (R)D+1
Jul 20–Jul 26Targoz Market Research1026 LVDonalds 45 (R) · Jolly 38 (D)R+7
Jul 8–Jul 17University of North Florida848 LVDonalds 46 (R) · Jolly 41 (D)R+5
Jul 9–Jul 11Change Researchpartisan sponsor1348 RVJolly 37 (D) · Donalds 37 (R)Even
May 13–May 16Change Researchpartisan sponsor1593 LVJolly 46 (D) · Donalds 42 (R)D+4
May 1–May 9Cherry Communicationspartisan sponsor604 LVDonalds 47 (R) · Jolly 39 (D)R+8
Mar 15–Apr 13Stetson University848 LVDonalds 47 (R) · Jolly 40 (D)R+7
Apr 3–Apr 9Echelon Insights406 LVDonalds 49 (R) · Jolly 43 (D)R+6
Mar 27–Apr 3MDW Communicationspartisan sponsor1834 LVJolly 41 (D) · Donalds 41 (R)Even
Mar 29–Mar 31Emerson College1165 LVDonalds 44 (R) · Jolly 39 (D)R+5
Feb 21–Mar 2University of North Florida786 LVDonalds 42 (R) · Jolly 36 (D)R+6
Feb 13–Feb 16Targoz Market Research1129 LVDonalds 41 (R) · Jolly 36 (D)R+5
Oct 15–Oct 25University of North Florida728 LVDonalds 45 (R) · Jolly 34 (D)R+11
Sep 16–Sep 18Targoz Market Research1118 RVDonalds 36 (R) · Jolly 32 (D)R+4
Sep 7–Sep 9Bendixen & Amandi Internationalpartisan sponsor631 LVJolly 41 (D) · Donalds 40 (R)D+1
Aug 25–Aug 27AIF Centerpartisan sponsor800 LVDonalds 49 (R) · Jolly 41 (D)R+8
Jun 7–Jun 10Victory Insightspartisan sponsor600 LVDonalds 37 (R) · Jolly 31 (D)R+6