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A chart from Where the Toss-Ups Went

Where the Toss-Ups Went

Safe RLikely RLean RToss-upLean D/ILikely D/ISafe D/I2 races: Safe R → Likely R1 race: Likely R → Safe R3 races: Likely R → Likely R3 races: Likely R → Lean R3 races: Lean R → Likely R5 races: Lean R → Lean R1 race: Lean R → Toss-up2 races: Toss-up → Toss-up3 races: Toss-up → Lean D/I3 races: Lean D/I → Toss-up3 races: Lean D/I → Lean D/I2 races: Lean D/I → Likely D/I5 races: Likely D/I → Likely D/I2 races: Safe D/I → Likely D/I1 race: Safe R → Safe R2 races: Likely R → Safe R5 races: Likely R → Likely R1 race: Likely R → Lean R1 race: Lean R → Safe R2 races: Lean R → Likely R3 races: Lean R → Lean R2 races: Lean R → Toss-up4 races: Toss-up → Toss-up2 races: Toss-up → Lean D/I6 races: Lean D/I → Lean D/I4 races: Likely D/I → Likely D/I5 races: Likely D/I → Safe D/ISafe R 2Likely R 7Lean R 9Toss-up 5Lean D/I 8Likely D/I 5Safe D/I 2September 24Safe R 1Likely R 8Lean R 8Toss-up 6Lean D/I 6Likely D/I 9October 13Safe R 4Likely R 7Lean R 4Toss-up 6Lean D/I 8Likely D/I 4Safe D/I 5November 2

Since September 24, fourteen races moved toward Democrats or independents and six toward Republicans

  • Safe R
  • Likely R
  • Lean R
  • Toss-up
  • Lean D/I
  • Likely D/I
  • Safe D/I

Forecast as of November 2, 2026. See it in context · Preview image (PNG, 1200 by 630)