A chart from When Third Parties Could Have Decided
When Third Parties Could Have Decided Chip: state won by the Democrat Chip: state won by the Republican Oregon 1976: votes for others outnumbered the margin OR Ohio 1976: votes for others outnumbered the margin OH Maine 1976: votes for others outnumbered the margin ME Virginia 1976: votes for others outnumbered the margin VA Iowa 1976: votes for others outnumbered the margin IA Wisconsin 1976: votes for others outnumbered the margin WI Mississippi 1976: votes for others outnumbered the margin MS California 1976: votes for others outnumbered the margin CA Oklahoma 1976: votes for others outnumbered the margin OK Washington 1976: votes for others outnumbered the margin WA 10 1976 Massachusetts 1980: votes for others outnumbered the margin MA Vermont 1980: votes for others outnumbered the margin VT Hawaii 1980: votes for others outnumbered the margin HI Maine 1980: votes for others outnumbered the margin ME Minnesota 1980: votes for others outnumbered the margin MN New York 1980: votes for others outnumbered the margin NY Maryland 1980: votes for others outnumbered the margin MD Delaware 1980: votes for others outnumbered the margin DE Rhode Island 1980: votes for others outnumbered the margin RI Wisconsin 1980: votes for others outnumbered the margin WI Arkansas 1980: votes for others outnumbered the margin AR Connecticut 1980: votes for others outnumbered the margin CT Oregon 1980: votes for others outnumbered the margin OR Tennessee 1980: votes for others outnumbered the margin TN Alabama 1980: votes for others outnumbered the margin AL Michigan 1980: votes for others outnumbered the margin MI Kentucky 1980: votes for others outnumbered the margin KY North Carolina 1980: votes for others outnumbered the margin NC South Carolina 1980: votes for others outnumbered the margin SC Mississippi 1980: votes for others outnumbered the margin MS Pennsylvania 1980: votes for others outnumbered the margin PA Illinois 1980: votes for others outnumbered the margin IL Washington 1980: votes for others outnumbered the margin WA West Virginia 1980: votes for others outnumbered the margin WV 24 1980 Minnesota 1984: votes for others outnumbered the margin MN 1 1984 0 1988 Nevada 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin NV Montana 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin MT Arizona 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin AZ Maine 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin ME Kansas 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin KS New Hampshire 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin NH Alaska 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin AK Wyoming 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin WY Colorado 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin CO Ohio 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin OH Texas 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin TX South Dakota 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin SD Florida 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin FL Wisconsin 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin WI Idaho 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin ID Connecticut 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin CT Oregon 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin OR Oklahoma 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin OK Indiana 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin IN New Jersey 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin NJ Iowa 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin IA Utah 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin UT Washington 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin WA North Carolina 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin NC Georgia 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin GA Minnesota 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin MN Delaware 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin DE Michigan 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin MI Missouri 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin MO North Dakota 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin ND Kentucky 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin KY Virginia 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin VA Pennsylvania 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin PA Louisiana 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin LA New Mexico 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin NM California 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin CA Vermont 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin VT Nebraska 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin NE South Carolina 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin SC Rhode Island 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin RI Tennessee 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin TN Massachusetts 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin MA Alabama 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin AL Hawaii 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin HI West Virginia 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin WV Illinois 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin IL New York 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin NY Mississippi 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin MS Maryland 1992: votes for others outnumbered the margin MD 49 1992 Nevada 1996: votes for others outnumbered the margin NV Montana 1996: votes for others outnumbered the margin MT Colorado 1996: votes for others outnumbered the margin CO Kentucky 1996: votes for others outnumbered the margin KY South Dakota 1996: votes for others outnumbered the margin SD Arizona 1996: votes for others outnumbered the margin AZ North Dakota 1996: votes for others outnumbered the margin ND Georgia 1996: votes for others outnumbered the margin GA Virginia 1996: votes for others outnumbered the margin VA Indiana 1996: votes for others outnumbered the margin IN Oregon 1996: votes for others outnumbered the margin OR Ohio 1996: votes for others outnumbered the margin OH Missouri 1996: votes for others outnumbered the margin MO Tennessee 1996: votes for others outnumbered the margin TN Florida 1996: votes for others outnumbered the margin FL Oklahoma 1996: votes for others outnumbered the margin OK North Carolina 1996: votes for others outnumbered the margin NC Texas 1996: votes for others outnumbered the margin TX Wisconsin 1996: votes for others outnumbered the margin WI New Mexico 1996: votes for others outnumbered the margin NM Mississippi 1996: votes for others outnumbered the margin MS Pennsylvania 1996: votes for others outnumbered the margin PA New Hampshire 1996: votes for others outnumbered the margin NH Wyoming 1996: votes for others outnumbered the margin WY Washington 1996: votes for others outnumbered the margin WA South Carolina 1996: votes for others outnumbered the margin SC 26 1996 Oregon 2000: votes for others outnumbered the margin OR Iowa 2000: votes for others outnumbered the margin IA Wisconsin 2000: votes for others outnumbered the margin WI Minnesota 2000: votes for others outnumbered the margin MN New Mexico 2000: votes for others outnumbered the margin NM New Hampshire 2000: votes for others outnumbered the margin NH Florida 2000: votes for others outnumbered the margin FL Maine 2000: votes for others outnumbered the margin ME Nevada 2000: votes for others outnumbered the margin NV Ohio 2000: votes for others outnumbered the margin OH 10 2000 Wisconsin 2004: votes for others outnumbered the margin WI New Mexico 2004: votes for others outnumbered the margin NM Iowa 2004: votes for others outnumbered the margin IA 3 2004 Missouri 2008: votes for others outnumbered the margin MO Montana 2008: votes for others outnumbered the margin MT North Carolina 2008: votes for others outnumbered the margin NC Indiana 2008: votes for others outnumbered the margin IN 4 2008 0 2012 Utah 2016: votes for others outnumbered the margin UT Maine 2016: votes for others outnumbered the margin ME Minnesota 2016: votes for others outnumbered the margin MN New Hampshire 2016: votes for others outnumbered the margin NH Wisconsin 2016: votes for others outnumbered the margin WI Michigan 2016: votes for others outnumbered the margin MI Nevada 2016: votes for others outnumbered the margin NV Colorado 2016: votes for others outnumbered the margin CO New Mexico 2016: votes for others outnumbered the margin NM Pennsylvania 2016: votes for others outnumbered the margin PA Arizona 2016: votes for others outnumbered the margin AZ Florida 2016: votes for others outnumbered the margin FL Virginia 2016: votes for others outnumbered the margin VA North Carolina 2016: votes for others outnumbered the margin NC 14 2016 Arizona 2020: votes for others outnumbered the margin AZ Wisconsin 2020: votes for others outnumbered the margin WI Georgia 2020: votes for others outnumbered the margin GA North Carolina 2020: votes for others outnumbered the margin NC 4 2020 Wisconsin 2024: votes for others outnumbered the margin WI Michigan 2024: votes for others outnumbered the margin MI 2 2024 President: states where votes for anyone but the two nominees outnumbered the winning margin (chip colour: the state's winner) Senate 2/33 4/32 3/33 3/36 3/33 4/34 7/34 2/35 4/32 1/33 4/33 Governor 1/11 5/36 0/11 9/36 2/12 8/35 3/12 5/36 0/11 3/36 0/11 Senate and governor races from 2004 where others' votes outnumbered the margin, of that year's races won by a Democrat or a Republican with both parties running In 1992, votes for candidates other than the two major-party nominees outnumbered the winning margin in forty-nine of the fifty states; in 2024, in two of fifty
Forecast as of November 2, 2026. See it in context · Preview image (PNG, 1200 by 630)
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