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A chart from The Seat Ridges

The Seat Ridges

Democrats at a majority or aboveDemocrats short of a majoritySenate: Democratic seats51 for a majorityOct 12Oct 19Oct 26Nov 273% at 51 or more27% below 514045505560

Senate: Democrats win 51 or more seats, a majority, in 73% of simulations and fall short in 27% of simulations

  • Democrats at a majority or above
  • Democrats short of a majority

Forecast as of November 2, 2026. See it in context · Preview image (PNG, 1200 by 630)