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A chart from A Hundred Novembers

A Hundred Novembers

DemocratRepublicanIndependentIA Senate: Hinson (R) wins 52 in 100, Turek (D) 48 in 100IA SenateHinson (R) 52 in 100Turek (D) 48 in 100middle margin Hinson+0.3NV Governor: Lombardo (R) wins 54 in 100, Ford (D) 46 in 100NV GovernorLombardo (R) 54 in 100Ford (D) 46 in 100middle margin Lombardo+0.5KS Senate: Hamilton (D) wins 56 in 100, Marshall (R) 44 in 100KS SenateHamilton (D) 56 in 100Marshall (R) 44 in 100middle margin Hamilton+0.7AK Senate: Peltola (D) wins 57 in 100, Sullivan (R) 43 in 100AK SenatePeltola (D) 57 in 100Sullivan (R) 43 in 100middle margin Peltola+1.4NE Senate: Ricketts (R) wins 58 in 100, Osborn (I) 42 in 100NE SenateRicketts (R) 58 in 100Osborn (I) 42 in 100middle margin Ricketts+1.0KS Governor: Masterson (R) wins 59 in 100, Holscher (D) 41 in 100KS GovernorMasterson (R) 59 in 100Holscher (D) 41 in 100middle margin Masterson+1.1GA Governor: Bottoms (D) wins 62 in 100, Jackson (R) 38 in 100GA GovernorBottoms (D) 62 in 100Jackson (R) 38 in 100middle margin Bottoms+1.6TX Senate: Talarico (D) wins 69 in 100, Paxton (R) 31 in 100TX SenateTalarico (D) 69 in 100Paxton (R) 31 in 100middle margin Talarico+2.4TX Governor: Abbott (R) wins 69 in 100, Hinojosa (D) 31 in 100TX GovernorAbbott (R) 69 in 100Hinojosa (D) 31 in 100middle margin Abbott+2.5ME Senate: Jackson (D) wins 72 in 100, Collins (R) 28 in 100ME SenateJackson (D) 72 in 100Collins (R) 28 in 100middle margin Jackson+2.9SC Senate: Graham (R) wins 73 in 100, Andrews (D) 27 in 100SC SenateGraham (R) 73 in 100Andrews (D) 27 in 100middle margin Graham+3.0OH Senate: Brown (D) wins 74 in 100, Husted (R) 26 in 100OH SenateBrown (D) 74 in 100Husted (R) 26 in 100middle margin Brown+3.1FL Governor: Donalds (R) wins 77 in 100, Jolly (D) 23 in 100FL GovernorDonalds (R) 77 in 100Jolly (D) 23 in 100middle margin Donalds+3.6WI Governor: Crowley (D) wins 78 in 100, Tiffany (R) 22 in 100WI GovernorCrowley (D) 78 in 100Tiffany (R) 22 in 100middle margin Crowley+4.0OH Governor: Acton (D) wins 80 in 100, Ramaswamy (R) 20 in 100OH GovernorActon (D) 80 in 100Ramaswamy (R) 20 in 100middle margin Acton+4.2MI Senate: El-Sayed (D) wins 81 in 100, Rogers (R) 19 in 100MI SenateEl-Sayed (D) 81 in 100Rogers (R) 19 in 100middle margin El-Sayed+4.6OR Governor: Kotek (D) wins 83 in 100, Drazan (R) 17 in 100OR GovernorKotek (D) 83 in 100Drazan (R) 17 in 100middle margin Kotek+5.3OK Governor: Mazzei (R) wins 84 in 100, Munson (D) 16 in 100OK GovernorMazzei (R) 84 in 100Munson (D) 16 in 100middle margin Mazzei+8.9VT Governor: Scott (R) wins 84 in 100, Janoo (D) 16 in 100VT GovernorScott (R) 84 in 100Janoo (D) 16 in 100middle margin Scott+6.6NE Governor: Pillen (R) wins 85 in 100, Walz (D) 15 in 100NE GovernorPillen (R) 85 in 100Walz (D) 15 in 100middle margin Pillen+5.5FL Senate: Moody (R) wins 86 in 100, Nixon (D) 14 in 100FL SenateMoody (R) 86 in 100Nixon (D) 14 in 100middle margin Moody+5.7IA Governor: Sand (D) wins 87 in 100, Lahn (R) 13 in 100IA GovernorSand (D) 87 in 100Lahn (R) 13 in 100middle margin Sand+5.6LA Senate: Letlow (R) wins 88 in 100, Davis (D) 12 in 100LA SenateLetlow (R) 88 in 100Davis (D) 12 in 100middle margin Letlow+10.3AK Governor: Kreiss-Tomkins (D) wins 89 in 100, Wilson (R) 11 in 100AK GovernorKreiss-Tomkins (D) 89 in 100Wilson (R) 11 in 100middle margin Kreiss-Tomkins+9.6

24 closest Senate and governor races as 100 simulated elections each

  • Democrat
  • Republican
  • Independent

Forecast as of November 2, 2026. See it in context · Preview image (PNG, 1200 by 630)