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A chart from Our Forecast Against the Count So Far

Our Forecast Against the Count So Far

Dot: Democrat ahead of the other forecast candidateDot: Republican ahead of the other forecast candidateForecast's 90% rangeForecast's expected marginSenate4020Even2040← Republican or independentDemocrat or independent →WY Senate: forecast R+37.1, 90% range R+57.9 to R+16.2; count so far R+30.5 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 97% reporting); inside the rangeWYWV Senate: forecast R+29.9, 90% range R+50.2 to R+9.6; count so far R+21.2 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 95% reporting); inside the rangeWVTN Senate: forecast R+22.3, 90% range R+36.9 to R+7.7; count so far R+12.4 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 95% reporting); inside the rangeTNAR Senate: forecast R+14.8, 90% range R+29.8 to D+0.4; count so far R+12.3 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 99% reporting); inside the rangeARSD Senate: forecast R+8.4, 90% range R+18.2 to I+1.5; count so far R+21.0 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 99% reporting); outside the rangeSDFL (special) Senate: forecast R+5.7, 90% range R+14.7 to D+3.5; count so far R+2.9 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeFL (special)NE Senate: forecast R+1.0, 90% range R+10.1 to I+8.1; count so far R+6.8 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeNEIA Senate: forecast R+0.4, 90% range R+9.4 to D+8.7; count so far D+4.1 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 96% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeIATX Senate: forecast D+2.4, 90% range R+6.6 to D+11.5; count so far D+12.1 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); outside the rangeTXOH (special) Senate: forecast D+3.0, 90% range R+6.1 to D+12.2; count so far D+5.1 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 98% reporting); inside the rangeOH (special)MN Senate: forecast D+7.1, 90% range R+2.0 to D+16.3; count so far D+10.4 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 99% reporting); inside the rangeMNNH Senate: forecast D+8.7, 90% range R+0.5 to D+18.0; count so far D+14.1 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 94% reporting); inside the rangeNHGA Senate: forecast D+9.8, 90% range D+0.7 to D+19.1; count so far D+18.1 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 99% reporting); inside the rangeGANC Senate: forecast D+10.5, 90% range D+1.4 to D+19.6; count so far D+19.6 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeNCNM Senate: forecast D+16.7, 90% range D+2.2 to D+31.4; count so far D+26.3 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 98% reporting); inside the rangeNMIL Senate: forecast D+17.8, 90% range D+3.2 to D+32.5; count so far D+23.6 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 93% reporting); inside the rangeILVA Senate: forecast D+18.5, 90% range D+1.2 to D+35.8; count so far D+22.4 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 97% reporting); inside the rangeVACO Senate: forecast D+19.2, 90% range D+4.7 to D+33.9; count so far D+23.9 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 88.5% reporting); inside the rangeCONJ Senate: forecast D+19.9, 90% range R+0.6 to D+40.5; count so far D+27.5 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 95% reporting); inside the rangeNJOR Senate: forecast D+26.6, 90% range D+6.3 to D+47.0; count so far D+17.0 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 79% reporting); inside the rangeORRI Senate: forecast D+27.2, 90% range D+16.9 to D+37.6; count so far D+38.8 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 98% reporting); outside the rangeRIDE Senate: forecast D+28.7, 90% range D+8.5 to D+49.0; count so far D+27.1 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 99% reporting); inside the rangeDEGovernor4020Even2040← Republican or independentDemocrat or independent →WY Governor: forecast R+35.7, 90% range R+54.2 to R+17.2; count so far R+53.9 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 95% reporting); inside the rangeWYID Governor: forecast R+25.7, 90% range R+40.7 to R+10.7; count so far R+25.5 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 95% reporting); inside the rangeIDSD Governor: forecast R+20.3, 90% range R+35.3 to R+5.2; count so far R+27.0 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 99% reporting); inside the rangeSDAR Governor: forecast R+17.2, 90% range R+32.2 to R+2.1; count so far R+15.3 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 99% reporting); inside the rangeARTN Governor: forecast R+15.7, 90% range R+26.4 to R+4.9; count so far R+2.6 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 99% reporting); outside the rangeTNAL Governor: forecast R+12.4, 90% range R+22.5 to R+2.2; count so far R+4.1 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 99% reporting); inside the rangeALSC Governor: forecast R+10.3, 90% range R+19.7 to R+0.6; count so far R+4.5 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 95% reporting); inside the rangeSCNH Governor: forecast R+7.2, 90% range R+16.5 to D+2.2; count so far R+4.2 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 92% reporting); inside the rangeNHVT Governor: forecast R+6.5, 90% range R+17.5 to D+4.7; count so far R+7.1 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 99% reporting); inside the rangeVTNE Governor: forecast R+5.5, 90% range R+14.8 to D+3.9; count so far R+8.6 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeNEFL Governor: forecast R+3.6, 90% range R+12.6 to D+5.5; count so far R+1.3 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeFLTX Governor: forecast R+2.5, 90% range R+11.6 to D+6.6; count so far D+7.1 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); outside the rangeTXNV Governor: forecast R+0.5, 90% range R+9.9 to D+9.1; count so far D+7.6 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 90% reporting); inside the rangeNVWI Governor: forecast D+4.0, 90% range R+5.3 to D+13.3; count so far D+8.2 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 99% reporting); inside the rangeWIOH Governor: forecast D+4.2, 90% range R+4.9 to D+13.4; count so far D+7.9 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 98% reporting); inside the rangeOHOR Governor: forecast D+5.4, 90% range R+4.3 to D+15.2; count so far D+6.8 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 79% reporting); inside the rangeORIA Governor: forecast D+5.7, 90% range R+3.5 to D+14.9; count so far D+11.0 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 96% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeIANM Governor: forecast D+8.2, 90% range R+1.9 to D+18.3; count so far D+14.5 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 95% reporting); inside the rangeNMMI Governor: forecast D+8.9, 90% range R+0.2 to D+18.1; count so far D+11.0 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 97% reporting); inside the rangeMIMN Governor: forecast D+11.0, 90% range D+1.7 to D+20.3; count so far D+13.1 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 99% reporting); inside the rangeMNAZ Governor: forecast D+11.0, 90% range D+1.5 to D+20.5; count so far D+13.1 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 80% reporting); inside the rangeAZME Governor: forecast D+11.7, 90% range D+2.7 to D+20.8; count so far D+17.6 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 91% reporting); inside the rangeMERI Governor: forecast D+17.5, 90% range D+7.8 to D+27.1; count so far D+30.1 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 98% reporting); outside the rangeRICT Governor: forecast D+18.2, 90% range D+8.8 to D+27.6; count so far D+17.6 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 93% reporting); inside the rangeCTIL Governor: forecast D+20.2, 90% range D+10.3 to D+30.2; count so far D+23.8 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 91% reporting); inside the rangeILPA Governor: forecast D+21.6, 90% range D+12.1 to D+31.3; count so far D+22.3 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 99% reporting); inside the rangePACO Governor: forecast D+23.3, 90% range D+8.3 to D+38.4; count so far D+28.9 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 77% reporting); inside the rangeCOCA Governor: forecast D+24.0, 90% range D+14.7 to D+33.4; count so far D+28.7 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCAMD Governor: forecast D+30.7, 90% range D+15.7 to D+45.7; count so far D+29.4 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 78% reporting); inside the rangeMDHI Governor: forecast D+32.9, 90% range D+11.8 to D+53.9; count so far D+45.3 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 50% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeHIHouseIn each column: Republican or independent on the left, Democrat or independent on the right5025Even2550NE-3 House: forecast R+48.1, 90% range R+57.7 to R+38.7; count so far R+51.0 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeNE-3TX-19 House: forecast R+42.1, 90% range R+52.1 to R+32.0; count so far R+39.0 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); inside the rangeTX-19TX-1 House: forecast R+39.5, 90% range R+49.5 to R+29.5; count so far R+38.1 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); inside the rangeTX-1TX-13 House: forecast R+35.0, 90% range R+45.1 to R+24.7; count so far R+30.5 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); inside the rangeTX-13FL-1 House: forecast R+28.1, 90% range R+38.1 to R+18.1; count so far R+27.0 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeFL-1FL-6 House: forecast R+25.4, 90% range R+35.6 to R+15.2; count so far R+19.0 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeFL-6TX-11 House: forecast R+25.0, 90% range R+34.9 to R+14.9; count so far R+19.0 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); inside the rangeTX-11FL-19 House: forecast R+24.7, 90% range R+34.7 to R+14.5; count so far R+23.5 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeFL-19CA-20 House: forecast R+24.1, 90% range R+34.2 to R+14.0; count so far R+25.2 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-20FL-28 House: forecast R+22.4, 90% range R+32.6 to R+12.2; count so far R+7.3 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); outside the rangeFL-28IA-4 House: forecast R+19.0, 90% range R+29.9 to R+8.0; count so far R+18.1 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 98.7% reporting); inside the rangeIA-4TX-26 House: forecast R+18.3, 90% range R+28.4 to R+8.0; count so far R+10.4 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); inside the rangeTX-26TX-12 House: forecast R+18.0, 90% range R+28.0 to R+7.9; count so far R+6.2 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); outside the rangeTX-12TX-8 House: forecast R+17.8, 90% range R+27.8 to R+7.8; count so far R+6.4 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); outside the rangeTX-8TX-36 House: forecast R+17.7, 90% range R+27.8 to R+7.8; count so far R+7.1 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); outside the rangeTX-36TX-3 House: forecast R+17.6, 90% range R+27.5 to R+7.5; count so far R+5.5 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); outside the rangeTX-3TX-4 House: forecast R+17.6, 90% range R+27.6 to R+7.6; count so far R+12.1 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); inside the rangeTX-4TX-25 House: forecast R+17.4, 90% range R+27.6 to R+7.3; count so far R+7.5 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); inside the rangeTX-25FL-26 House: forecast R+17.4, 90% range R+27.5 to R+7.3; count so far R+0.8 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); outside the rangeFL-26TX-14 House: forecast R+17.3, 90% range R+27.3 to R+7.3; count so far R+8.0 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); inside the rangeTX-14FL-17 House: forecast R+17.2, 90% range R+27.4 to R+7.1; count so far R+18.3 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeFL-17TX-6 House: forecast R+16.8, 90% range R+26.6 to R+6.7; count so far R+4.3 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); outside the rangeTX-6CA-23 House: forecast R+16.2, 90% range R+26.4 to R+6.1; count so far R+2.7 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); outside the rangeCA-23TX-27 House: forecast R+15.6, 90% range R+25.5 to R+5.6; count so far R+2.3 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); outside the rangeTX-27TX-2 House: forecast R+15.2, 90% range R+25.1 to R+5.2; count so far R+2.0 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); outside the rangeTX-2FL-21 House: forecast R+15.1, 90% range R+25.1 to R+5.0; count so far R+9.2 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeFL-21TX-22 House: forecast R+14.9, 90% range R+25.0 to R+4.6; count so far R+3.6 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); outside the rangeTX-22TX-5 House: forecast R+14.7, 90% range R+24.7 to R+4.7; count so far R+2.9 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); outside the rangeTX-5FL-15 House: forecast R+14.5, 90% range R+24.5 to R+4.6; count so far R+8.6 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeFL-15TX-17 House: forecast R+14.4, 90% range R+24.5 to R+4.6; count so far R+7.1 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); inside the rangeTX-17TX-21 House: forecast R+14.4, 90% range R+24.5 to R+4.3; count so far R+9.0 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); inside the rangeTX-21CA-5 House: forecast R+14.2, 90% range R+24.1 to R+4.3; count so far R+12.1 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-5FL-5 House: forecast R+14.0, 90% range R+24.1 to R+3.9; count so far R+12.9 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeFL-5FL-3 House: forecast R+13.9, 90% range R+24.0 to R+4.1; count so far R+12.2 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeFL-3TX-10 House: forecast R+13.8, 90% range R+23.9 to R+3.8; count so far R+7.5 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); inside the rangeTX-10FL-18 House: forecast R+13.4, 90% range R+23.5 to R+3.2; count so far R+3.7 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeFL-18TX-38 House: forecast R+13.4, 90% range R+23.5 to R+3.3; count so far R+4.2 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); inside the rangeTX-38TX-31 House: forecast R+13.4, 90% range R+23.3 to R+3.4; count so far R+8.9 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); inside the rangeTX-31FL-12 House: forecast R+13.0, 90% range R+23.3 to R+2.9; count so far R+6.8 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeFL-12NC-8 House: forecast R+12.9, 90% range R+23.0 to R+2.8; count so far R+1.8 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); outside the rangeNC-8FL-8 House: forecast R+12.3, 90% range R+22.4 to R+2.1; count so far R+6.3 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeFL-8NC-10 House: forecast R+12.0, 90% range R+22.1 to R+1.9; count so far R+1.0 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); outside the rangeNC-10TX-24 House: forecast R+11.1, 90% range R+21.1 to R+0.9; count so far R+6.9 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); inside the rangeTX-24NC-6 House: forecast R+10.7, 90% range R+20.4 to R+0.7; count so far D+2.3 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); outside the rangeNC-65025Even2550FL-4 House: forecast R+10.6, 90% range R+20.7 to R+0.5; count so far R+2.1 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeFL-4TX-9 House: forecast R+9.9, 90% range R+19.9 to D+0.2; count so far D+15.1 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); outside the rangeTX-9TX-32 House: forecast R+9.8, 90% range R+19.8 to D+0.3; count so far R+2.9 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); inside the rangeTX-32NC-7 House: forecast R+9.5, 90% range R+19.5 to D+0.5; count so far R+0.8 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeNC-7NC-14 House: forecast R+9.5, 90% range R+19.5 to D+0.5; count so far D+2.2 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); outside the rangeNC-14FL-2 House: forecast R+9.4, 90% range R+19.4 to D+0.7; count so far R+4.3 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeFL-2FL-11 House: forecast R+8.8, 90% range R+19.0 to D+1.4; count so far R+7.0 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeFL-11NC-13 House: forecast R+8.7, 90% range R+18.6 to D+1.3; count so far D+2.4 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); outside the rangeNC-13NC-5 House: forecast R+8.6, 90% range R+18.7 to D+1.3; count so far Even (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeNC-5NC-9 House: forecast R+7.0, 90% range R+17.2 to D+3.2; count so far D+2.2 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeNC-9FL-27 House: forecast R+6.4, 90% range R+16.6 to D+3.8; count so far R+0.5 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeFL-27NE-1 House: forecast R+5.8, 90% range R+15.4 to D+3.8; count so far R+4.1 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeNE-1NC-3 House: forecast R+4.9, 90% range R+14.9 to D+5.3; count so far R+0.1 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeNC-3FL-16 House: forecast R+4.6, 90% range R+14.5 to D+5.4; count so far R+4.3 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeFL-16TX-23 House: forecast R+4.5, 90% range R+14.4 to D+5.6; count so far D+8.2 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); outside the rangeTX-23FL-13 House: forecast R+3.6, 90% range R+13.5 to D+6.5; count so far R+0.8 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeFL-13ME-2 House: forecast R+1.3, 90% range R+12.3 to D+9.7; count so far R+0.8 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 94% reporting); inside the rangeME-2FL-9 House: forecast R+1.0, 90% range R+11.0 to D+9.2; count so far D+0.5 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeFL-9CA-22 House: forecast R+0.6, 90% range R+10.8 to D+9.6; count so far D+32.8 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); outside the rangeCA-22TX-35 House: forecast R+0.5, 90% range R+10.5 to D+9.6; count so far D+10.9 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); outside the rangeTX-35FL-22 House: forecast D+0.9, 90% range R+9.2 to D+11.0; count so far D+3.8 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeFL-22TX-15 House: forecast D+1.9, 90% range R+8.3 to D+12.1; count so far D+24.6 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); outside the rangeTX-15FL-7 House: forecast D+3.2, 90% range R+6.9 to D+13.2; count so far R+0.5 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeFL-7TX-34 House: forecast D+3.8, 90% range R+6.4 to D+13.8; count so far D+16.0 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); outside the rangeTX-34IA-3 House: forecast D+3.8, 90% range R+5.8 to D+13.4; count so far D+7.3 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 98.8% reporting); inside the rangeIA-3TX-28 House: forecast D+4.3, 90% range R+6.0 to D+14.5; count so far D+36.1 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); outside the rangeTX-28FL-25 House: forecast D+5.1, 90% range R+5.1 to D+15.4; count so far D+4.6 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeFL-25CA-48 House: forecast D+6.1, 90% range R+3.9 to D+16.0; count so far D+19.0 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); outside the rangeCA-48FL-14 House: forecast D+6.1, 90% range R+3.9 to D+16.2; count so far D+5.3 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeFL-14NC-1 House: forecast D+6.1, 90% range R+3.9 to D+16.1; count so far D+3.3 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeNC-1NC-11 House: forecast D+6.8, 90% range R+3.1 to D+16.8; count so far D+15.8 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeNC-11NE-2 House: forecast D+8.8, 90% range R+2.0 to D+19.7; count so far D+15.4 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeNE-2CA-6 House: forecast D+8.9, 90% range I+3.7 to D+22.1; count so far D+15.0 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-6CA-13 House: forecast D+13.3, 90% range D+3.1 to D+23.4; count so far D+22.6 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-13CA-45 House: forecast D+14.2, 90% range D+4.3 to D+24.2; count so far D+18.5 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-45CA-1 House: forecast D+17.0, 90% range D+7.2 to D+27.0; count so far D+13.7 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-1CA-21 House: forecast D+17.8, 90% range D+8.0 to D+28.1; count so far D+24.4 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-21CA-25 House: forecast D+19.9, 90% range D+10.1 to D+29.7; count so far D+29.3 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-25CA-41 House: forecast D+20.1, 90% range D+10.2 to D+30.1; count so far D+31.8 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); outside the rangeCA-41CA-35 House: forecast D+20.3, 90% range D+10.0 to D+30.5; count so far D+31.1 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); outside the rangeCA-35CA-39 House: forecast D+21.0, 90% range D+10.7 to D+31.3; count so far D+31.9 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); outside the rangeCA-39CA-31 House: forecast D+21.6, 90% range D+11.4 to D+31.5; count so far D+28.9 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-31CA-9 House: forecast D+22.3, 90% range D+12.2 to D+32.4; count so far D+31.6 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-9CA-33 House: forecast D+22.8, 90% range D+12.5 to D+32.9; count so far D+35.3 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); outside the rangeCA-335025Even2550CA-38 House: forecast D+23.4, 90% range D+13.1 to D+33.5; count so far D+31.8 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-38CA-27 House: forecast D+23.6, 90% range D+13.6 to D+33.6; count so far D+24.9 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-27CA-42 House: forecast D+23.7, 90% range D+13.7 to D+33.7; count so far D+20.3 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-42CA-49 House: forecast D+24.4, 90% range D+14.4 to D+34.3; count so far D+14.7 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-49CA-47 House: forecast D+24.6, 90% range D+14.5 to D+34.6; count so far D+13.8 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); outside the rangeCA-47CA-3 House: forecast D+24.8, 90% range D+14.9 to D+34.8; count so far D+14.0 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); outside the rangeCA-3FL-23 House: forecast D+25.0, 90% range D+14.9 to D+35.0; count so far D+31.3 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeFL-23TX-16 House: forecast D+26.1, 90% range D+16.1 to D+36.1; count so far D+41.5 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); outside the rangeTX-16CA-26 House: forecast D+26.2, 90% range D+16.3 to D+36.0; count so far D+23.5 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-26CA-46 House: forecast D+26.8, 90% range D+16.9 to D+36.8; count so far D+37.0 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); outside the rangeCA-46ME-1 House: forecast D+27.6, 90% range D+18.3 to D+37.0; count so far D+32.4 (unofficial, via Wikipedia, 90% reporting); inside the rangeME-1CA-51 House: forecast D+29.3, 90% range D+19.4 to D+39.3; count so far D+26.3 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-51CA-50 House: forecast D+29.3, 90% range D+19.2 to D+39.3; count so far D+22.0 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-50CA-52 House: forecast D+29.4, 90% range D+19.4 to D+39.5; count so far D+37.9 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-52CA-32 House: forecast D+33.2, 90% range D+23.1 to D+43.1; count so far D+33.4 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-32TX-7 House: forecast D+33.3, 90% range D+23.3 to D+43.3; count so far D+43.3 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); outside the rangeTX-7CA-24 House: forecast D+33.7, 90% range D+23.9 to D+43.4; count so far D+31.7 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-24CA-2 House: forecast D+33.8, 90% range D+24.0 to D+43.6; count so far D+32.7 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-2CA-28 House: forecast D+34.0, 90% range D+24.0 to D+44.1; count so far D+38.7 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-28CA-18 House: forecast D+36.4, 90% range D+26.1 to D+46.4; count so far D+43.7 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-18HI-2 House: forecast D+37.9, 90% range D+28.6 to D+47.2; count so far D+33.0 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 50.2% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeHI-2TX-29 House: forecast D+39.0, 90% range D+28.9 to D+48.9; count so far D+59.9 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); outside the rangeTX-29TX-20 House: forecast D+39.1, 90% range D+29.1 to D+48.9; count so far D+55.2 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); outside the rangeTX-20HI-1 House: forecast D+39.9, 90% range D+30.7 to D+49.0; count so far D+46.4 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 50.2% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeHI-1CA-10 House: forecast D+42.6, 90% range D+32.7 to D+52.7; count so far D+38.1 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-10CA-44 House: forecast D+43.9, 90% range D+33.9 to D+54.0; count so far D+60.9 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); outside the rangeCA-44CA-19 House: forecast D+44.3, 90% range D+34.4 to D+54.2; count so far D+44.1 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-19TX-33 House: forecast D+44.4, 90% range D+34.4 to D+54.2; count so far D+57.1 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); outside the rangeTX-33FL-24 House: forecast D+44.5, 90% range D+34.5 to D+54.5; count so far D+61.3 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); outside the rangeFL-24CA-8 House: forecast D+44.7, 90% range D+34.8 to D+54.5; count so far D+43.8 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-8NC-2 House: forecast D+44.9, 90% range D+35.0 to D+54.7; count so far D+51.6 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeNC-2FL-20 House: forecast D+45.2, 90% range D+35.4 to D+55.1; count so far D+52.6 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeFL-20CA-36 House: forecast D+45.7, 90% range D+35.9 to D+55.6; count so far D+43.4 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-36TX-30 House: forecast D+49.3, 90% range D+39.4 to D+59.1; count so far D+65.3 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); outside the rangeTX-30CA-17 House: forecast D+50.9, 90% range D+41.0 to D+60.9; count so far D+41.2 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-17CA-30 House: forecast D+51.0, 90% range D+41.2 to D+60.9; count so far D+52.3 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-30CA-43 House: forecast D+52.6, 90% range D+42.5 to D+62.7; count so far D+63.7 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); outside the rangeCA-43CA-16 House: forecast D+52.8, 90% range D+42.9 to D+62.6; count so far D+52.0 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-16NC-4 House: forecast D+53.8, 90% range D+43.9 to D+63.8; count so far D+60.2 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeNC-4CA-15 House: forecast D+54.6, 90% range D+44.6 to D+64.7; count so far D+54.9 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeCA-15NC-12 House: forecast D+55.0, 90% range D+45.2 to D+64.9; count so far D+62.4 (unofficial, the state's official results feed, 100% of precincts reporting); inside the rangeNC-12TX-18 House: forecast D+55.4, 90% range D+45.7 to D+65.2; count so far D+72.1 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); outside the rangeTX-18TX-37 House: forecast D+60.7, 90% range D+50.9 to D+70.5; count so far D+67.5 (unofficial, Texas Secretary of State, read 2026-11-05 03:40 PT, entered by hand); inside the rangeTX-37Margin in percentage points of votes counted; some Wikipedia rows count only the candidates listed

The 2026 forecast's 90% range and the count so far in 183 races

  • Dot: Democrat ahead of the other forecast candidate
  • Dot: Republican ahead of the other forecast candidate
  • Forecast's 90% range
  • Forecast's expected margin

Forecast as of November 5, 2026. See it in context · Preview image (PNG, 1200 by 630)