Get the briefing by email: when the forecast moves and weekly through Election Day, then how our forecast did. See a sample briefing

A chart from Outside Money

Outside Money

Raised by the campaign (solid)Outside groups on that side (paler)DemocratRepublicanIndependent← money on the Republican's sidemoney on the Democrat's or independent's side →Millions of dollars: raised by each campaign, plus outside groups' spending on its sideTX Senate: Paxton (R) raised $22.3M, outside groups spent $2.7M on that side; Talarico (D) raised $146.3M, outside groups spent $31.5M on that sideTX SenatePaxton $25MTalarico $178MMI Senate: Rogers (R) raised $23.0M, outside groups spent $35.0M on that side; El-Sayed (D) raised $53.8M, outside groups spent $15.0M on that sideMI SenateRogers $58MEl-Sayed $69MOH Senate: Husted (R) raised $19.9M, outside groups spent $9.3M on that side; Brown (D) raised $68.4M, outside groups spent $1.5M on that sideOH SenateHusted $29MBrown $70MIA Senate: Hinson (R) raised $14.1M, outside groups spent $4.8M on that side; Turek (D) raised $24.3M, outside groups spent $20.4M on that sideIA SenateHinson $19MTurek $45MAK Senate: Sullivan (R) raised $11.5M, outside groups spent $4.6M on that side; Peltola (D) raised $36.9M, outside groups spent $3.0M on that sideAK SenateSullivan $16MPeltola $40MME Senate: Collins (R) raised $22.5M, outside groups spent $2.5M on that side; Jackson (D) raised $26.9M, outside groups spent $3.5M on that sideME SenateCollins $25MJackson $30MLA Senate: Letlow (R) raised $7.1M, outside groups spent $11.6M on that side; Davis (D) raised $5.0M, outside groups spent $10.9M on that sideLA SenateLetlow $19MDavis $16MSC Senate: Graham (R) raised $1.9M, outside groups spent $2.8M on that side; Andrews (D) raised $24.2M, outside groups spent $0.1M on that sideSC SenateGraham $5MAndrews $24MNE Senate: Ricketts (R) raised $14.5M, outside groups spent $0.9M on that side; Osborn (I) raised $11.0M, outside groups spent $0.1M on that sideNE SenateRicketts $15MOsborn $11MFL Senate: Moody (R) raised $14.5M, outside groups spent $0.6M on that side; Nixon (D) raised $11.3M, outside groups spent $0.1M on that sideFL SenateMoody $15MNixon $11MKS Senate: Marshall (R) raised $5.4M, outside groups spent $0.3M on that side; Hamilton (D) raised $19.2M, outside groups spent $0.0M on that sideKS SenateMarshall $6MHamilton $19M

Of the Senate races shown where the favorite's chance is below 90%, TX Senate has the most money behind it: $203 million so far

  • Raised by the campaign (solid)
  • Outside groups on that side (paler)
  • Democrat
  • Republican
  • Independent

Forecast as of November 2, 2026. See it in context · Preview image (PNG, 1200 by 630)