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A chart from How Close Washington Came

How Close Washington Came

DemocratRepublicanPresident· the state that cast the 270th electoral vote05 pts10 pts15 pts2004: Republicans took control; the state that cast the 270th electoral vote was OH, won by 2.1 pointsOHR+2.12008: Democrats took control; the state that cast the 270th electoral vote was CO, won by 9.0 pointsCOD+9.02012: Democrats took control; the state that cast the 270th electoral vote was CO, won by 5.4 pointsCOD+5.42016: Republicans took control; the state that cast the 270th electoral vote was WI, won by 0.8 pointsWIR+0.82020: Democrats took control; the state that cast the 270th electoral vote was WI, won by 0.6 pointsWID+0.62024: Republicans took control; the state that cast the 270th electoral vote was PA, won by 1.7 pointsPAR+1.7Senate· the seat that gave the majority05 pts10 pts15 pts2008: Democrats took control; the seat that gave the majority was SD, won by 25.0 points, 59 seatsSDD+25.02010: Democrats took control; the seat that gave the majority was CA, won by 10.0 points, 53 seatsCAD+10.02016: Republicans took control; the seat that gave the majority was WI, won by 3.4 points, 52 seatsWIR+3.42018: Republicans took control; the seat that gave the majority was IN, won by 5.9 points, 53 seatsINR+5.92020: Democrats took control; the seat that gave the majority was GA, won by 1.2 points, 50 seatsGAD+1.22022: Democrats took control; the seat that gave the majority was GA, won by 2.8 points, 51 seatsGAD+2.82024: Republicans took control; the seat that gave the majority was MT, won by 7.1 points, 53 seatsMTR+7.1House· the 218th seat05 pts10 pts15 pts2004: Republicans took control; the 218th seat was TX-32, won by 10.3 points, 232 seatsTX-32R+10.32006: Democrats took control; the 218th seat was IA-3, won by 5.4 points, 233 seatsIA-3D+5.42008: Democrats took control; the 218th seat was NH-2, won by 15.0 points, 257 seatsNH-2D+15.02010: Republicans took control; the 218th seat was OH-1, won by 5.5 points, 242 seatsOH-1R+5.52012: Republicans took control; the 218th seat was NC-9, won by 6.1 points, 234 seatsNC-9R+6.12014: Republicans took control; the 218th seat was NC-13, won by 14.6 points, 247 seatsNC-13R+14.62016: Republicans took control; the 218th seat was UT-4, won by 12.5 points, 241 seatsUT-4R+12.52018: Democrats took control; the 218th seat was CA-10, won by 4.5 points, 235 seatsCA-10D+4.52020: Democrats took control; the 218th seat was MN-2, won by 2.3 points, 222 seatsMN-2D+2.32022: Republicans took control; the 218th seat was IA-3, won by 0.7 points, 222 seatsIA-3R+0.72024: Republicans took control; the 218th seat was PA-7, won by 1.0 points, 220 seatsPA-7R+1.020042006200820102012201420162018202020222024

The margin of the seat that decided control in Washington, 2004–2024

  • Democrat
  • Republican

Forecast as of November 2, 2026. See it in context · Preview image (PNG, 1200 by 630)